(CNN)House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's plan to pass a $1.9 trillion economic package and a $1.2 trillion infrastructure bill, two pillars of President Joe Biden's agenda, was at risk of collapsing as leaders struggled to unify progressives and moderates, though signs of progress emerged Friday night as Democrats resumed debate on the House floor.
After previously expressing confidence that both bills will pass on Friday, Pelosi indicated in the afternoon that they would just move the infrastructure bill amid push back from moderates that the $1.9 trillion bill needs an official cost estimate from the Congressional Budget Office, a process that could take about two weeks.
After hours of negotiating, the House finally moved forward to a series of procedural votes Friday night, meaning that the bipartisan infrastructure vote could still be sent to Biden's desk, despite opposition from progressives who have warned that they will sink the infrastructure bill if it moves ahead without the separate economic package, known as the Build Back Better Act.
Throughout Friday, progressives made clear that both bills must move in tandem, and they have pushed that if the $1.9 trillion dollar bill is delayed then the infrastructure bill should be voted on at the same time.
The party has been struggling for months to unite its moderate and progressive wings to enact the President's agenda, but those efforts have repeatedly stalled out, delivering a series of blows to congressional Democrats and the White House. The party has already had to punt on voting on the infrastructure bill twice in two months due to a separate set of demands from progressives. Biden has gotten personally involved, visiting the Hill twice to rally Democrats, and working the phones with moderates this week. That has still not resolved the impasse.
For most of the day, the stalled agenda suggested Democrats might have to delay their votes again. But lobbying from the White House directly to the Congressional Progressive Caucus may have hit a breakthrough as floor action resumed Friday night.
Pelosi's whip count
As frustration over the holdup intensifies, House leadership pressed ahead with a plan to vote on a separate infrastructure bill and the rule governing debate for the social spending bill. But it's not clear that Democrats have the votes.
Pelosi held firm at a news conference that the new plan will go forward and sounded confident about the prospects of passing the infrastructure bill, though she did not explicitly say there is enough support to approve the measure.
Asked if she has 218 votes to pass the infrastructure bill without the social spending bill, Pelosi only said "we'll see."
Pelosi said with a smile at one point, "I have the speakers' secret whip count."
"I do believe there are a large number of members of the progressive caucus who will vote for the bill," she said.
After speaking to reporters, Pelosi huddled with senior staff on the floor of the House chamber, carrying a paper with a list of names that she kept referencing.
Biden calls progressives
Biden called Rep. Pramila Jayapal, a Washington state Democrat and the head of the Congressional Progressive Caucus, this afternoon amid the standoff, according to three sources familiar with the matter. She left a CPC meeting early to take the call.
After Jayapal asked for a show of hands of those who would not back the infrastructure bill, roughly 20 progressives raised their hands, according to a source in the room.
The President separately called into a meeting of the Progressive Caucus itself and spoke on speakerphone to the members, according to two sources familiar with the call, pushing a vote on the infrastructure bill. Biden also scrapped his travel to Rehoboth Beach, Delaware, on Friday night as initially planned, according to a White House official, as he continues to push for a path forward on advancing his agenda.
Part of Biden's message to progressives Friday is that he's willing to work with them to find some kind of solution, so long as they agree to vote for the infrastructure bill in the coming hours, according to a source familiar with the call. Things have moved toward the process of crafting a statement, backed by the moderates and Biden, that would provide explicit and concrete assurances related to the future vote on Biden's economic and climate agenda bill, known as the Build Back Better Act, the source said. It was unclear whether this would be enough to win over progressives as negotiations continued.
Multiple sources told CNN that Jayapal and moderate Democratic Rep. Josh Gottheimer of New Jersey were in direct talks as they tried to finalize a deal that could get the infrastructure bill to the President's desk Friday with concrete assurances the moderates would back the Build Back Better Act.
Still, Jayapal expressed skepticism behind closed doors about the assurances from the moderates that they would vote for the economic agenda bill assuming the CBO analysis shows its costs are fully offset, according to a person who heard her remarks. Jayapal wouldn't say anything to reporters as she left the caucus meeting, and she wouldn't comment on whether she would vote for the infrastructure bill Friday night.
Frustration grows
Some House Democrats are angry at the handful of moderates holding up action over demands that the $1.9 trillion bill get a cost estimate from the Congressional Budget Office, a process that could take weeks.
"Not one of my constituents cares about the CBO," said one member.
"Everyone is anxious to get this done," another member said. "There's growing frustration that the Blue Dogs keep moving the goal post. Every time we get close, they come up with a new demand." The Blue Dog Coalition is a group of centrist House Democrats.
Progressive members are also not happy with the new plan being pushed by leadership of letting infrastructure pass without the social spending bill, multiple sources told CNN.
"They would lose at least 20 votes of Pramila, squad and core progressives for BIF if they chose that route. It won't pass," one progressive told CNN, referring to Jayapal, the Congressional Progressive chairwoman, and other members of the caucus and the bipartisan infrastructure bill, which is frequently referred to as BIF.
Moderate demands stall push for votes
Five moderates, including Golden, signed onto a letter this week calling for a CBO score, before floor consideration of the Build Back Better Act.
CBO scores of legislation provide an estimate of the effects the policies could have on revenue and spending. Moderates, many of whom have expressed concerns over the overall cost of the bill, argue it is important to have that information and a full picture of the potential impact of the sweeping social safety net plan before holding a vote.
But it could take some time to prepare such a cost estimate. In the meantime, Democratic leadership is relying on a White House analysis saying the bill is fully paid for, based in part on the non-partisan Joint Committee on Taxation.
House Budget Chairman John Yarmuth, a Democrat from Kentucky, told CNN he expected a CBO score to take about 10-14 days, and wouldn't be done until the week before Thanksgiving. Some think it could slip until the week of Thanksgiving, though preliminary estimates could be done earlier.
Schrader, who signed onto the letter calling for a CBO score, left Pelosi's office and told CNN "we have no resolution that I know" when asked if he is ready to vote on Build Back Better.
In one sign of progress for leadership, after meeting in Pelosi's office, Democratic Rep. Carolyn Bourdeaux of Georgia tweeted that she is not against voting for the social spending bill and that the CBO score is not a red line for her.
"There are a lot of rumors swirling. Let me be clear — this bill is paid for and it has a number of my priorities in it. If it comes to the Floor today — I will support the Build Back Better Act," she said.
Some issues resolved
Democratic sources say that negotiations over immigration provisions have been resolved — and the last remaining hurdle to passing a bill is the demand by five moderates that they get a CBO score before a vote.
In a sign that a deal is getting closer, House Democrats have also resolved another sticking point: How to deal with state and local tax deductions, according to multiple sources familiar with the matter. Democrats from the Northeast and West Coast have been pushing to loosen the caps imposed by the 2017 tax law.
Under the new SALT deal, deductions would be capped at $80,000 per year over a nine-year time span, according to Rep. Tom Malinowski, who helped cut the deal.
Before this week, demands from progressives had taken center stage in the push to pass the bills in the House. Progressives have demanded that both the social safety net plan and the infrastructure bill move in tandem.
This story and headline have been updated with additional developments Friday.
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